The Decision Intelligence framework applied to live market conditions. Not tips or forecasts — structural analysis of what is actually happening and why. Each piece is a case study in reading markets through a disciplined lens. All free, no gate.
The growth of passive investment has created a structural bid that has quietly dominated price discovery for over a decade. This piece examines what that means for how markets actually work — how price signals have been distorted, what active investors have been trading against without knowing it, and what happens when the structural flow that has supported prices begins to reverse.
The AI cycle is producing the conditions the Decision Intelligence framework was built to identify: a structural opportunity obscured by speculative excess and the narrative errors that accompany every major technological transition. This piece distinguishes between the genuine transformative potential of AI infrastructure investment and the valuation hallucinations that accompany it — and what the framework says about positioning through both.
Late-cycle markets are characterised by reframing — the same assets acquire new names, new rationales, and new valuation frameworks that justify elevated prices. This piece examines how narrative substitution works, how to recognise it in real time, and why the Decision Intelligence framework treats linguistic change in market commentary as a structural signal worth taking seriously.
Every serious market decline follows a recognisable sequence of decision errors — and most investors make them in the same order. This piece applies the Decision Intelligence framework to crash scenarios: the early warning indicators most investors miss, how correlation breaks down precisely when diversification is needed most, and the specific psychological sequence that destroys capital when markets move fast.
The 30-year US Treasury yield is at a nineteen-year high, with the long bond — meant to be the quiet anchor of the financial system — behaving like a risk asset. This piece examines what is moving the long end, why it matters for everything priced against it, and what three previous attempts at yield curve control reveal about the policy instinct that tends to follow.
Market Signals pieces are published when there's something structural worth saying — not on a schedule. Join the list and we'll send them directly.